The Known Predictions

Europe can be declared sunk in crisis and now groping for remedies, America is still struggling and could possibly soon return to protectionism out of desperation to fix problems, particularly the rising unemployment. Then there is the challenge from an unstoppable China with whom almost every nation is eager to improve their ties and those who haven't done so are willing to initiate. Unlike the western tactics of carrots and stick ,China has been dealing with the poverty-stricken African nations under the glare of torrential Western criticisms. Could it be jealousy? Could it be the rise of a long-considered looming threat they have long dreaded?

The healthy European Union members will soon be dragged down by the ailing ones, Britain which seemingly was considered to be on the path of recovery is now crawling and its once-mighty colonial power is less formidable than it could display in Falkland. It will take time for America to bounce back and if it does, which is highly likely considering its flexible labour markets, unlike the EU, it will then be in a position to realise that the country bled too long by wars without getting anywhere close to calculated booties. 

With a too stretched army and a shrinking economy its its base camps across the globe will be compelled shut down like the Roman outposts. Drone attacks, Navy Seal operations, recommended but also contested,  will be instrumental in policing for  a while. 

Few days ago the BBC broadcast a documentary on how the English language was losing its momentum in countries like Singapore and Malaysia, countries where the language was the lingua franca. The challenge is enormous and what's is more fascinating is the defiant characteristic of Singlish patois and the way in which Singaporeans use it regardless of how it is seen. The queen's language is there , it certainly prevails in offices and at public gatherings, but it can't be the language to which people can naturally relate to.

In this global topsy turvy one can say where the Indian elephant fits in though people, foreign businessmen and super rich Indians, have been much gung-ho about its developments. The absence of political wills, the seemingly incorrigible caste mentality which most people pretend doesn't exist when they are in the metros while it hangs thick in their homes, the few big lies of fundamental rights deceiving its own people run counter developmental intention.

And the picture even becomes gloomier when one understands that the elephant nation hasn't produced a real charismatic leader so far, and it's unlikely considering the moronic admiration and slavish loyalty people have for dynastic politics. It's a self-defeating thing and apparently runs counter to what the country as a democratic one should be. The working force will naturally grow as the population has been breeding healthily, but the quality of it will be a question.

When it comes to human rights records one would prefer India to be either a communist or an autocratic state where one, at least, knows what to expect, rather than being in a democracy with closets full of its people's skeletons; a nation only capable of saying beautiful and humane-like things and doing just the opposite.

With a population more educated and the quality of it bound to enhance there is hope for Chinese society to experience more freedom. But I wouldn't conclude that the country should be seen as an absolute role model, instead it's a country to be admired to an extent and a super power to be reckoned with.

This kind of global balance is definitely useful and does only more good; another Vietnam and unilateral carpet bombings will not easily happen . The West will give a second thought over any global intervention, they wouldn't be given unbridled liberty to indulge is mischief.

Imagine a ravaged world right after WW2, a world pocketed by victorious few, every nation , every individual looked up the Western world as though they had too many Lawrenes and invincible Solomons. They are as good as any other people, as imperfect as many others.

So, it can be summed up this way: Europe will emerge as the sick man of the world and after its recovery it will be more disintegrated with the Germans asking why they were being dragged into a financial abyss, the wounded cocky America will be confined to certain areas. It could possibly land up with certain domestic problems: a rising Hispanic population exerting for more, the black on the same platform where the white have been, Indians and other Asians will have more confidence and they will do more to make their presence feel since the rise of two super powers in Asia will boost the confidence in them. This could augment the rise of another Ku Klux Klan like movement among a pushed-out and dumbfounded white minority.

London, New York will be reduced to some tourist cities ,visited for their structures ,rather than vibrant global financial hubs as the bourses in Asian markets will trade in much larger scales; Shanghai and Beijing will expect the world to use more of Mandarin and the world will as their leaders continue to hold enormous respect for their language.

Pakistan will be a serious troublemaker in the sub-continent with its nuclear arsenals in its disposal, surging fundamentalism which was sown during General Zia-Uh-Hug, and eventually it could possibly become a rough state controlled in province wise by tribal chiefs, Sunnis and Shias, and army repenting its active contribution in destruction.

Where does India stand in this; the country will face steep rise in defense budget to tackle potential cross-border threats. If the people from the mainland succeed in overrunning those in the North-Eastern part of the country like the Hans have done to others in China, then the region could be peaceful with the natives beaten down and buried for good just like in Tripura or the Red Indians in Both Americas.

Disparity would widen more and chaotic urbanization would add more trouble with cities unable to hold people, but the cities will definitely become bigger with satellite cities at their peripheries. Why India will be still in deep trouble, because of it lack of commitment towards constructive education and lack of investment in R&D facilities and its self-defeating lies.